The collapse of MF Financial has ensnared some counter-parties. Trends forecaster Gerald Celente was caught up in the mess. The story on the questionable dealings is here. The regulator involved is a buddy of Corzine - but that's just a conspiracy theory.
Members have predicted recovery of customers' cash and collateral as following in the 6 months (ending on May 22, 2012). Although it is far from the end of 6 months, the "fog of war" has cleared plenty. We are more like the 4th quarter with a score of 35:3. Hence I am making the following update of the pool:
ThomasPaine: 30% OUT, but thanks for being the first one! nycll: 95% Sayhey: 60% OUT EvilCapitalist: 5% OUT Venturion: 0% OUT, winner of the worst guess award jkimcpa: 0% OUT, co-winner of the worst guess award cestmoi123: 90% hejustlaughs: 75% WINNER kensat30: 10% OUT Beernuts82: 12.5% OUT Cowboybill: 82% ThePessimist: 33% OUT
The results are indicative only, but I am feeling pretty confident about outs!
ps. we are not guessing only sayhey's recovery. We are guessing the collective recovery of all accounts' cash and collateral portion. I am only use sayhey's number and other anecdotal numbers as a guide.
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sayhey
Senior Member - 1K
posted: Nov. 16, 2011 @ 12:13p
I had a substantial futures trading account with MF GLOBAL which I opened almost 15 years ago with Lind Waldock. ALL of my funds are frozen. I suspect that it will be months or years before I'm able to recover even a partial reimbursement. Commodity accounts are NOT covered by the SIPC, so I fully expect to take a substantial hit.
Fortunately, I traded financial futures (S&P,Currencies,Bonds,Metals) strictly as an avocation; I felt that my entire account was risk capital, i.e., I was prepared to lose all of it.
I just didn't think that I'd lose the funds to obvious financial irregularities..........
BNizzle
Senior Member
posted: Nov. 16, 2011 @ 12:32p
sayhey said: I had a substantial futures trading account with MF GLOBAL which I opened almost 15 years ago with Lind Waldock. ALL of my funds are frozen. I suspect that it will be months or years before I'm able to recover even a partial reimbursement. Commodity accounts are NOT covered by the SIPC, so I fully expect to take a substantial hit.
Fortunately, I traded financial futures (S&P,Currencies,Bonds,Metals) strictly as an avocation; I felt that my entire account was risk capital, i.e., I was prepared to lose all of it.
I just didn't think that I'd lose the funds to obvious financial irregularities..........
That's what Corzine said...
MDfive21
Nerdy Member
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 8:03a
i don't have any accounts with them, but a lot of my clients had clearing accounts with MF Global, so the day teh BK was announced, my brokerage business was less due to the moving of their accounts to other CME clearing members.
xerty
Senior Member - 3K
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 11:08a
I know several people and businesses that are currently out real money on this. It's always been a concern that your futures clearing firm could go bust (MF almost did several times before), so at least if you were paying attention you could get most of your money out before the whole thing blew up.
Sounds like people are going to jail for a long time.
grex23
Senior Member - 2K
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 4:11p
Was this surprising? Corzine ripped off New Jersey badly before Chris Christie came in to win the governorship. There was no way I would have invested with corrupt political bigwigs like this and in fact I haven't.
Chris Christie had to do a lot of house cleaning in New Jersey to clean up after Corzine's mess. Is it no wonder that Chris Christie has had some of the best business leaders of our time behind him?
It takes a crook to know a crook. Trust is a two way street.
Repeat after me: I am not a crook!
sayhey
Senior Member - 1K
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 5:59p
xerty said: I know several people and businesses that are currently out real money on this. It's always been a concern that your futures clearing firm could go bust (MF almost did several times before), so at least if you were paying attention you could get most of your money out before the whole thing blew up.
I tried to get my money out, but FAILED. I called my trading desk the week before the bankruptcy was filed and asked them to send me a check for 95% of my balance. They did so on 10-27-11. The Bankruptcy was filed on 10-31-11. When I received and deposited the check on 11-1-11, it bounced higher than the moon. In retrospect, I should have gotten the money wired to my checking account, but I was too busy at work to get the necessary wire information from BofA.
Interestingly, it does appear that some BIG MF Global customers asked to get out 2-3 weeks BEFORE the announced shortfall in earnings which led to a run on the company's assets. They clearly had insider information which was not available to the little gals like me.
I'll probably lose around 50K in this bloodbath after all is said and done. I was willing to accept such a loss in the markets, but I never figured that it would come about because of the firm's illegal practices......
mapen
Senior Member - 1K
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 6:15p
Thank you for sharing your experience. It is a harsh reminder for all of us that the money we entrust to what we think are solid financial institutions may not be as safe as we think. I hope things turn out better for you than it looks right now.
watchtower7
Senior Member - 1K
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 6:45p
I did not realize these deposits were not insured. Why would anyone-anyone-deposit money with a partner that did not have some form of guarantee?
sayhey
Senior Member - 1K
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 7:21p
watchtower7 said: I did not realize these deposits were not insured. Why would anyone-anyone-deposit money with a partner that did not have some form of guarantee?
Good question. Let's not forget that VANGUARD Mutual Funds are NOT insured. Money Market Funds (held outside of FDIC banks) are NOT insured. Hedge funds are NOT insured.
Why is the world accepting 1.97% on 10 year Treasury notes???? Because the United States appears to be a "riskless" asset; we all know that the printing presses can go into full swing if we need to monetize our debt........
whodini
Senior Member - 2K
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 7:35p
We need more MF Global's to teach people about risk.
Kat009
Senior Member
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 7:44p
whodini said: We need more MF Global's to teach people about risk.
We don't necessarily need more, but we do need each and every case like MF Global to die like MF Global did.
ThePessimist
Happy Member
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 8:13p
watchtower7 said: I did not realize these deposits were not insured. Why would anyone-anyone-deposit money with a partner that did not have some form of guarantee? While they weren't insured, customer assets were required to be segregated from the firm's assets. So, barring illegal activity, insurance isn't necessary. Even in a BK, the customer assets can't be touched by creditors. And since (unlike a bank) the customer's assets are always 100% present, they're immune from a "run" on the institution.
Of course, the "barring illegal activity" part is key. If a company has such poor controls that millions in customer assets can go missing, then there's a big problem. But the idea that customer assets will always be kept separate is the rationale behind not carrying insurance.
nycll
Geeky member
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 8:27p
sayhey said: I had a substantial futures trading account with MF GLOBAL which I opened almost 15 years ago with Lind Waldock. ALL of my funds are frozen. I suspect that it will be months or years before I'm able to recover even a partial reimbursement. Commodity accounts are NOT covered by the SIPC, so I fully expect to take a substantial hit.
Fortunately, I traded financial futures (S&P,Currencies,Bonds,Metals) strictly as an avocation; I felt that my entire account was risk capital, i.e., I was prepared to lose all of it.
I just didn't think that I'd lose the funds to obvious financial irregularities..........Sorry to hear this. But according to some criticism I heard, SIPC was/is calling the shots. Do you know why?
motuwallet
Senior Member
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 10:43p
Let's be honest no one using MF did their DD
xerty
Senior Member - 3K
posted: Nov. 17, 2011 @ 11:18p
motuwallet said: Let's be honest no one using MF did their DD You don't know what you're talking about - that's like saying everyone should have know about Enron, Bear Sterns, or Lehman Brothers before the collapse. Here it's not even like Enron where you might have read all the footnotes and figured out the accounting problems, this was just a run on the (highly leveraged) bank - a self-reinforcing problem that can start on any rumor and take down the whole company whether or not it's true. Now if you were watching MF's stock price and news, maybe you got a few days' warning that something might be wrong. Rumors were flying on the Street and people were scrambling to wire out their funds, but the little guy isn't going to hear that. I will also note that depending on which futures you want to trade, MF may have been basically your only option.
EvilCapitalist
Broke Member
posted: Nov. 18, 2011 @ 9:51a
xerty said: motuwallet said: Let's be honest no one using MF did their DD You don't know what you're talking about - that's like saying everyone should have know about Enron Everyone should have.
Enron described in its filings existence of Raptors and what Enron was going to do with them years before the collapse. Those of us that were short that POS have been bringing that stuff up just to be told that we were jealous. And that's even if the light bulbs did not turn on when Enron announced that they had ability to trade fiber capacity in Podunk, KS and Blue Balls, PA without stepping a foot into either of the two.
grex23
Senior Member - 2K
posted: Nov. 18, 2011 @ 4:36p
This fatwallet thread should be called StupidWallet. Thank you, come again.
Hey, there's always going to be a grassy knoll crowd. It's not that conspiratorial. It's a story about mis-management, over-leverage, and illegality.Never dismiss as corruption that which can be explained by incompetence. People never cheat or steal.... and the government cares about me.
SinglePapa
Senior Member - 2K
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 6:06a
Hoping to be made whole?
If Reserve Fund (largest Money Market fund, and the first MM fund to break the buck) victims were not - then what are your (speculator) chances?
nycll
Geeky member
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 6:46a
SinglePapa said: Hoping to be made whole?
If Reserve Fund (largest Money Market fund, and the first MM fund to break the buck) victims were not - then what are your (speculator) chances? Two different cases. Reserves money was lost in lehman commercial paper they bought. MF clients money is missing; the outcome depends on whether they eventualy are found or become confirmed lost.
It seems a chunk of client money will be returned on Tuesday.
BetterDays
Senior Member - 3K
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 8:44a
watchtower7 said: Good question. Let's not forget that VANGUARD Mutual Funds are NOT insured. Money Market Funds (held outside of FDIC banks) are NOT insured. Hedge funds are NOT insured. Vanguard mutual funds are certainly not insured against market risk. Customers with accounts at Vanguard are, however, insured against insolvency and unauthorized trading by SIPC. So in that respect, they are in fact insured.
"Securities in your brokerage account are held in custody by Vanguard Brokerage Services, a division of Vanguard Marketing Corporation. Vanguard Marketing Corporation is a member of the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC) which protects securities customers of its members up to $500,000 (including $250,000 for claims for cash subject to future adjustments for inflation). To obtain information about SIPC, including an explanatory SIPC brochure, please contact SIPC at www.sipc.org or 202-371-8300.
To offer greater protection and security, Vanguard Marketing Corporation has secured additional coverage from certain insurers at Lloyd's of London and London Company Insurers for eligible customers with an aggregate limit of $250 million, incorporating a customer limit of $49.5 million for securities and $1.9 million for cash. Coverage provided by SIPC and certain Lloyd's of London and London Company Insurers does not protect against loss of market value of securities. The policy provided by certain Lloyd's of London and London Company Insurers is subject to its own terms and conditions."
SinglePapa
Senior Member - 2K
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 9:06a
With due respect, nycll, there are lessons to be learned from Reserve case: 1. Some clients (e.g. China) were instantly whole - while none of regular clients are whole following 3 year futile battles. 2. Bad news started at 97 cents on the dollar, then deteriorated to 94 cents. Last week, remaining RYPQX balances in brokerage accounts showed 33% loss.
Is distinction between Lehman paper going bad and Europe CDS paper critical? You think $600m is "missing"; does anyone know (including insiders) how much is lost? Does anyone know how much TBTF European banks are losing on same paper?
nycll said: SinglePapa said: Hoping to be made whole?
If Reserve Fund (largest Money Market fund, and the first MM fund to break the buck) victims were not - then what are your (speculator) chances? Two different cases. Reserves money was lost in lehman commercial paper they bought. MF clients money is missing; the outcome depends on whether they eventualy are found or become confirmed lost.
It seems a chunk of client money will be returned on Tuesday.
ThePessimist
Happy Member
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 9:07a
BetterDays said: watchtower7 said: Good question. Let's not forget that VANGUARD Mutual Funds are NOT insured. Money Market Funds (held outside of FDIC banks) are NOT insured. Hedge funds are NOT insured. Vanguard mutual funds are certainly not insured against market risk. Customers with accounts at Vanguard are, however, insured against insolvency and unauthorized trading by SIPC. So in that respect, they are in fact insured. Not to nitpick, but Vanguard Mutual Funds are usually not held through the brokerage unit. So, most of the mutual fund customers have no SIPC insurance. If it turns out that the Vanguard Group was actually pocketing the money rather than investing it in the funds, or otherwise diverting customer assets, accounts will be uninsured for the losses.
sayhey
Senior Member - 1K
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 10:28a
ThePessimist said: Not to nitpick, but Vanguard Mutual Funds are usually not held through the brokerage unit. So, most of the mutual fund customers have no SIPC insurance.
Correct.
nycll
Geeky member
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 11:34a
SinglePapa said: Is distinction between Lehman paper going bad and Europe CDS paper critical? You think $600m is "missing"; does anyone know (including insiders) how much is lost? Does anyone know how much TBTF European banks are losing on same paper?Yes, with due respect, the distinction between reserve funds and MF is clear. The former is the bad investment the clients of the fund entrusted the asset manager to make; the latter is a potential stealing of the clients' fund by their broker who had no clients permission to invest their money in risky assets or use their money for the broker's own need. It is at minimum a bad case of incompetence and poor back office control--it is not hard to imagine in its final days MF pledged clients' money for its own liquidity needs in a desperate effort to meet the "run on the bank", and worst case criminal offense of the same nature as shoplifting.
hejustlaughs
Senior Member - 2K
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 12:21p
grex23 said: This fatwallet thread should be called StupidWallet. Thank you, come again.
The grass still is greener on our side buddy.
boxerbrief
Frivolous Member
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 1:05p
This is absurd if no one gets their money back in this when some if the people who Invested with madoff are expecting to get their fullninvestments back (i am not sure if it includes gains or not). Just find a hell of a good class action lawyer? It sounds extemely illegal to me what they are doing. Good luck to those that got caught up in his mess.
SinglePapa
Senior Member - 2K
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 5:47p
nycll, your familiarity with Reserve's and Bents' goings-on appears passing. What MF clients should heed based on Reserve example is: clients of Reserve were first told by Bents that they've lost 1 percent, then 3 percent, then that their money is held for Bents to defend themselves!!! What you keep stressing is like: as soon as $600m is found, you clients will receive it. Guaranteed to not happen
nycll said: SinglePapa said: Is distinction between Lehman paper going bad and Europe CDS paper critical? You think $600m is "missing"; does anyone know (including insiders) how much is lost? Does anyone know how much TBTF European banks are losing on same paper?Yes, with due respect, the distinction between reserve funds and MF is clear. The former is the bad investment the clients of the fund entrusted the asset manager to make; the latter is a potential stealing of the clients' fund by their broker who had no clients permission to invest their money in risky assets or use their money for the broker's own need. It is at minimum a bad case of incompetence and poor back office control--it is not hard to imagine in its final days MF pledged clients' money for its own liquidity needs in a desperate effort to meet the "run on the bank", and worst case criminal offense of the same nature as shoplifting.
tolamapS
Senior Member - 3K
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 7:05p
sayhey said: watchtower7 said: I did not realize these deposits were not insured. Why would anyone-anyone-deposit money with a partner that did not have some form of guarantee?
Good question. Let's not forget that VANGUARD Mutual Funds are NOT insured. Money Market Funds (held outside of FDIC banks) are NOT insured. Hedge funds are NOT insured.
Why is the world accepting 1.97% on 10 year Treasury notes???? Because the United States appears to be a "riskless" asset; we all know that the printing presses can go into full swing if we need to monetize our debt........
Could you clarify some things for the benefit of all of us?
1. What was your sweep vehicle in the MF brokerage account. E.g., in my brokerage accounts, the sweep vehicle is an FDIC insured money market instrument,
2. Did you have any futures positions in your account? Suppose you had enough positions that your entire collateral was needed in order to hold those positions. What happened to those positions?
3. Is there a way to have a brokerage account through firm A, but have the custodian be firm B? I know that larger investors are doing this even with large banks. E.g., European Banks doing brokerage (broker-dealer) business in the US have institutional clients who do not want their collateral held with the said Banks. Instead, they ask that all collateral be held in a separate custodian bank, e.g., Bank of New York Mellon or State Street.
nycll
Geeky member
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 7:11p
SinglePapa said: What you keep stressing is like: as soon as $600m is found, you clients will receive it. Guaranteed to not happenI agree it may not happen, that that would be because the money is stolen. A better comparison is with Lehman--it did not misuse clients funds. So after a period of delay, the brokerage clients' money were returned to the rightful owners. One could even make a case the money never left the rightful owners. Reserve fund bought Lehman's commercial paper. It became a Lehman creditor in bankruptcy.
tolamapS
Senior Member - 3K
posted: Nov. 20, 2011 @ 7:38p
boxerbrief said: This is absurd if no one gets their money back in this when some if the people who Invested with madoff are expecting to get their fullninvestments back (i am not sure if it includes gains or not). Just find a hell of a good class action lawyer? It sounds extemely illegal to me what they are doing. Good luck to those that got caught up in his mess.
Ha ha ha ha ha
boxerbrief
Frivolous Member
posted: Nov. 21, 2011 @ 12:56a
tolamapS said: boxerbrief said: This is absurd if no one gets their money back in this when some if the people who Invested with madoff are expecting to get their fullninvestments back (i am not sure if it includes gains or not). Just find a hell of a good class action lawyer? It sounds extemely illegal to me what they are doing. Good luck to those that got caught up in his mess.
Ha ha ha ha ha
Okay, I take back what I said... http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/bernie-madoff-victims-money-back/story?id=14672278#.Tsn1V1Ym95M
cr3s
Handsome Member
posted: Nov. 21, 2011 @ 6:25p
So. It's up to 1.3 Billion now. What the man gonna do to you now?
SinglePapa
Senior Member - 2K
posted: Nov. 21, 2011 @ 7:24p
anyone who doubted the way this saga develops - just ask people who've seen good number of these
Skipping 166 Messages...
mapen
Senior Member - 1K
posted: Jul. 12, 2012 @ 8:32a
Of course, what was I thinking. I have to adjust to the new normal. Bailouts and bonuses for all, the banksters can do no wrong, no prison time for the insiders except Martha Stewart. The sheep stand idly by.
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