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A comparison of Retail versus Wholesale mortgage rates

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Hello fatwallet financiers!

Many of you know the mortgage professor has an amazing online tool allowing daily tracking of wholesale mortgage rates, and day to day fluxuations. The wholesale rate tracking tool is available through this link.

It's a great way to track mortgage rate changes from one point in time to another. However, looking at this chart begs the question: what are typical rate markups for going through a retail channel?

Well the purpose of this post is to try to answer that question, at least for one local lender I just got hold of today's rate sheet of: WAMU.

I crunched the WAMU numbers, making adjustments as needed to match the same loan criteria as used by the mortgage professor's wholesale rates, in order to allow comparison of retail to wholesale rate. These criteria are:
* 400k loan size
* 500k property value (80% loan to value)
* FICO score of 720 (WAMU requires 680 minimum FICO for the best rates; they pulling all three bureaus and use the score in the middle.)
* Full Docs
* Escrow
* 60 day lock
* rate interpolated to zero closing costs (for WAMU this includes all estimated closing costs for refinancing, including appraisal, etc.)

Here is how the wholesale and WAMU retail rates compare for all the Fixed and ARM Products offered by WAMU and tracked on the mortgage professor, as of today's rates 2/04/2008:


Product Wholesale Retail Mark-up
---------------------- --------- --------- ---------
30 Year Fixed 5.417% 5.683% 0.266%
20 Year Fixed 5.358% 5.581% 0.223%
15 Year Fixed 4.818% 5.191% 0.373%
10/1 Interest Only ARM 5.311% 6.025% 0.714%
10/1 ARM 5.044% 5.925% 0.881%
7/1 Interest Only ARM 5.252% 5.419% 0.167%
7/1 ARM 4.666% 5.481% 0.815%
5/1 Interest Only ARM 4.848% 5.263% 0.415%
5/1 ARM 4.552% 5.294% 0.742%
3/1 ARM 4.247% 5.213% 0.966%

Analysis:
* the least markup was .167%
* the most markup was .966%
* the average markup was .593%
* the markups for the fixed mortgage products were .223% - .373%
* generally, the arm products offered had a wider range of mark-up variation up than the fixed loan products

If you guys have any other questions about the WAMU rates sheets, let me know.

I hope this information proves useful for others potentially in the market for a mortgage refi or home purchase.

Summary: mark-ups as low as 3/16% - 1/4% above wholesale can likely be found with some comparison shopping.

Retail mortgage rate mark-ups as low as 3/16% - 1/4% above wholesale can likely be found with some comparison shopping.

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I appreciate the work. Thanks OP.

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Good work. Wasn't the most markup 0.966%?

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FarmerOak - indeed there was a max markup of .966%; nice catch. (And what a crappy deal that is too!)

-----------------------

Also, some more information on how WAMU's rates change, which I just remembered and wanted to pass on: the rates vary each day, with a new rate sheet becoming available at the start of the day, in eastern standard time, being "good" for an 8 hour duration, through the end of the day, also in eastern standard time. (So if on west coast PST, can't wait until 5PM!) Through that 8 hour time period they were "good" and would not fluxuate mid-day.

And... I found wholesale rates could be fetched "by state", which would make them more accurate than "whole USA", so here is the comparison done again, this time with wholesale data specific for Washington State:


WA State
Product Wholesale Retail Mark-up
---------------------- --------- --------- ---------
30 Year Fixed 5.402% 5.683% 0.281%
20 Year Fixed 5.369% 5.581% 0.212%
15 Year Fixed 4.817% 5.191% 0.374%
10/1 Interest Only ARM 5.284% 6.025% 0.741%
10/1 ARM 4.989% 5.925% 0.936%
7/1 Interest Only ARM 5.200% 5.419% 0.213%
7/1 ARM 4.606% 5.481% 0.875%
5/1 Interest Only ARM 4.775% 5.263% 0.488%
5/1 ARM 4.512% 5.294% 0.782%
3/1 ARM 4.190% 5.213% 1.023%

Switching to state-specific wholesale data, the mark-ups rose slightly.
Notably, the lowest mark-up became .212%, the highest 1.023%, and the average mark-up .593%.

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is there a way to get a mortgage at wholesale?

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Dreamtoday said:is there a way to get a mortgage at wholesale?

Find a broker and an underwriter and a processor and a title company and an appraisal company and a closing agent and a funder willing to work for free.

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Dreamtoday said:is there a way to get a mortgage at wholesale?Of course there is but it will not necessarily be as advantageous as it sounds. Brokers, for instance, typically have access to wholesale rates but when it's all said and done you may or may not be better off with a broker than with a retail branch of a lender. Wholesale rates vary not only wholesale lender to wholesale lender, but also broker to broker. In other words, the same wholesale lender often offers somewhat different rates to different brokers -- it all depends on the broker's volume, the wholesale lender's efforts to garner more of the broker's business, etc... Further, as I am sure you realize, the broker's willingness/ability to pass on the savings has a lot to do with how competitive a particular mortgage package would be.

Each lender's yield spread structure also has quite a bit to do with how competitive each mortgage package happens to be. It is not at all unusual for mortgage brokers and correspondent lenders to include yield spread premium as part of their compensation, which lowers the up front settlement costs and makes their package appear more competitive. Depending on the competiveness of the yield spread structure (it's never a linear relationship, so the first 100bps will typically give you way more money than 200bps, etc...), you also may or may not be better off with a retail lender.

By the way, there are even situations where wholesale terms offered by a particular lender are actually worse than those offered by a retail arm of another lender. This often happens with lenders that have both retail and wholesale branches versus lenders that only offer wholesale services. The former sometimes face pressure from their retail counterparts not to undercut them, so they don't always offer the best terms on the wholesale side. The purely wholesale lenders do not face this pressure.

The bottom line behind all this technical mumbo jumbo is that you should not worry so much about getting retail vs. wholesale rates. You should instead shop a variety of providers and pick one that happens to offer the most competitive terms for your particular situation.

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i agree its heck trying to get the best retail rate without feeling screwed, just ignore the wholesale... you will drive yourself crazy.

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synch22 said:i agree its heck trying to get the best retail rate without feeling screwed, just ignore the wholesale... you will drive yourself crazy.It's not even that. It will often be more expensive for you to get a wholesale rate at par plus all the closing costs than a retail rate with discount points (so that the rates are identical) plus the much lower closing costs that may be offered by a retail provider. Of course the opposite can also be true. As I mentioned above, there are just way too many variables that affect the competitiveness of each mortgage package (even at the same broker, different loan officers sitting next to each other will often offer very different packages), so that you can never assume that you'll be better off by going to a provider offering you a wholesale rate than a retail one.

An excellent example of the above is Penfed, which only offers retail programs. On some programs, such as 5/1 ARM and 15 year fixed (not to mention 5/5 ARM, which is a unique program) at par it is far more competitive than many wholesale providers. At the same time, its yield spreads (both positive as well as negative) are not always competitive, so with heavy buy-downs or buy-ups you can often find cheaper alternatives, including the alternatives that are otherwise significantly more expensive when you are only comparing terms at par.

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I second Geo123's advice to simply shop for the best rate, regardless of the retail or wholesale label. And just as important, if not more, is to know how to factor in the up-front fees within the individual's time they expect to hold the loan.

There are a lot of ways to figure this out, but a simple approach is to take:
(upfont-fees) + (note_interest) + (upfront-fees*(1+mortgage_rate)^loan_duration)

Closing fees are a whole lot more variable than rates, and can easily turn a good looking rate into a horrible offer.

addendum: The calc above can be simplified to taking all non-identical up-front and closing fees and costs, and adding them to the loan principal. Then all one has to do is look up the interest paid after however long the person intends to hold the loan. The same -- say, 30 year-- table should be used in each instance.

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The mortgage professor explains what wholesale rates are here, and explains why tracking them has advantages over attempting to track changes to retail rates:

"Wholesale Prices as a Day-to-Day Measure of Market Conditions

Sensitivity: Wholesale price data are a much better gauge of market conditions than retail price data because they contain much less statistical "noise". The data are offer prices on the day indicated. Retail price series, such as the one published by Freddie Mac, are weekly averages and the timing used by reporting retail lenders is not clear. The lenders could be reporting offer prices, prices on locked loans, or prices on closed loans.

There is also much less price dispersion in the wholesale market because wholesale prices are net of retail markups which can vary widely from one transaction to another."

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The purpose of looking at the wholesale rate data, is that it allows efficiently tracking and comparing how the rates vary with differing points in time.

Sure, if you are purchasing a home and have a signed purchase and sales agreement with a ticking closing date, you might have no other option but to "just" shop around for the lowest retail rate, because in this scenario with a potential sale in possible jeopardy if you don't perform, you really have very little flexibility with using time to your advantage.

However, if you do have the ability of using timing to your advantage, for example: if you have a mortgage already and are considering refinancing, but could only do so profitably if the rates drop sufficiently, then tracking the rates that are current may provide you an opportunity to "jump" on a profitable deal, during the brief moment it may only be available. IE: the day the rates drop sufficiently low to make refinancing worth while.

Since wholesale rates changes correlate to changes in the retail rates, and if you know approximately what kind of markup to expect (and that was the intention of me starting this thread), you also know *generally* what can be expected to be found in the retail market at that same point in time. For example, you can make a decision if it's worth your time to go shopping around multiple retail mortgage lenders for quotes (a very time consuming process, based on my experience...), or whether it's really a better use of your time to do something else, and just wait for a day when rates are lower.

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jakeru said:Since wholesale rates changes correlate to changes in the retail rates, if you know approximately what kind of markup to expect, you also know *generally* what can be expected to be found in the retail market at that same point in time.This is all true but there is simply no need to make the process so complicated by trying to figure out markups and the like. Pick a couple of providers that generally offer competitive mortgage terms (Penfed on its 5/1, 5/5 ARM's and 15 year fixed program would be one such provider) and monitor their websites for rate changes. This way you'll know exactly what the loan terms are and won't have to waste your time tracking wholesale rates and determining mark-ups.

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jakeru said:The mortgage professor explains what wholesale rates are here, and explains why tracking them has advantages over attempting to track changes to retail rates:

"Wholesale Prices as a Day-to-Day Measure of Market Conditions

Sensitivity: Wholesale price data are a much better gauge of market conditions than retail price data because they contain much less statistical "noise". The data are offer prices on the day indicated. Retail price series, such as the one published by Freddie Mac, are weekly averages and the timing used by reporting retail lenders is not clear. The lenders could be reporting offer prices, prices on locked loans, or prices on closed loans.

There is also much less price dispersion in the wholesale market because wholesale prices are net of retail markups which can vary widely from one transaction to another.
"

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The purpose of looking at the wholesale rate data, is that it allows efficiently tracking and comparing how the rates vary with differing points in time.
You made the above edit after I created the preceeding post, so I thought I'd address it here. Noone is telling you to look at retail averages, which for your purposes are meaningless. By determining a handful of competitive providers for your particular situation and then monitoring their rates on a daily basis you will accomplish exactly what you are looking for without wasting time tracking wholesale rates and then approximating mark-ups.

By the way, as I explained above, you are not accomplishing anything by approximating these wholesale vs. retail mark-ups, since the mark-ups will differ provider to provider and even loan officer to loan officer. As I also mentioned above, there is a whole host of other factors that will influence the competitiveness of each mortgage program at various providers, so just knowing the rates doesn't get you very far.

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geo123 - If you are only using the internet to get your retail quotes, in my opinion you are missing out on a big chunk of the mortgage lending market. Unless you cast a very wide net and perform many quotes, it's unlikely that the lenders you find are going to offer the lowest rates. When wholesale rates drop, you are not guaranteed with your method to see the change if you are only comparing a couple retailer's prices. Also, many internet quotes are in "bits and pieces", or with unstated assumptions (IE: re detailed closing costs), which makes efficient "apples to apples" comparison difficult. Lenders allowing very specific, individually tailored quotes through the internet are few and far between; usually it is necessarily manual and time-intensive process to get a quote that is applicable or comparable. The wholesale mortgage price aggregating service takes much of that legwork out of the equation.

There is much written in mortgage professor's web site about all these details, but it is beyond the intended scope of this thread, which is to answer the question: what is the mark-up of retail mortgage above wholesale rates?

I don't believe that retail mark ups vary as much as you indicate, at least for competitive offers. The mortgage brokers work pretty hard competing against each other for business, to the point that it is a generally competitive market. If you enter into a contract with an upfront mortgage broker for example, your contract may even dictate that he gets a "fixed" commission, regardless of which lender or product he ends up guiding you to. In this case, the retail mark-up truly could be fixed.

Anyway, I am done arguing with you about this. If you don't care for my methodology because you've determined it is not optimal for your situation, then simply don't read it, and do what's best for yourself. No need to threadcrap or discount the value of a methodology already judged useful by many other readers (if the amount of green is any indication).

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jakeru said:
* rate interpolated to zero closing costs (for WAMU this includes all estimated closing costs for refinancing, including appraisal, etc.)

jakeru - How do you interpolate rate to zero closing costs? Do you divide the closing cost by the term of the loan?

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jakeru said:geo123 - If you are only using the internet to get your retail quotes, in my opinion you are missing out on a big chunk of the mortgage lending market.Please re-read my posts again, as well as those of a few other posters in this thread who have pointed out the same thing as I have. Namely, that you can use the internet to get retail quote, wholesale quotes and everything in between. We've said that you should worry a lot less about "retail" and "wholesale" labels, which are often meaningless, and much more about the overall mortgage terms.

Also, many internet quotes are in "bits and pieces", or with unstated assumptions (IE: re detailed closing costs), which makes efficient "apples to apples" comparison difficult. Lenders allowing very specific, individually tailored quotes through the internet are few and far between; usually it is necessarily manual and time-intensive process to get a quote that is applicable or comparable.That is of course not true. We already have a number of excellent threads discussing some of the most competitively priced lenders in various market segments and loan programs. Read the threads, create a small list of lenders who are likely to offer you the most competitive terms for your specific needs, get an idea about their closing costs (you can even get GFE's from them if you want) and then just monitor the rates on their websites.

The wholesale mortgage price aggregating service takes much of that legwork out of the equation.Ghhhhm, it does? What does knowing the wholesale rate give you when you don't know what closing costs are associated with the rates and what the rate margin is to get the retail rates (as I've mentioned, rate margins will vary widely lender to lender and even loan officer to loan officer).

There is much written in mortgage professor's web site about all these details, but it is beyond the intended scope of this thread, which is to answer the question: what is the mark-up of retail mortgage above wholesale rates?Again, your question is unanswerable because the margin will vary lender to lender and even loan officer to loan officer. As I've also mentioned, it is also not at all unusual for the same wholesale lender to give different rates to different brokers.

I don't believe that retail mark ups vary as much as you indicate, at least for competitive offers. The mortgage brokers work pretty hard competing against each other for business, to the point that it is a generally competitive market. If you enter into a contract with an upfront mortgage broker for example, your contract may even dictate that he gets a "fixed" commission, regardless of which lender or product he ends up guiding you to. In this case, the retail mark-up truly could be fixed.Brokers get compensated in a lot of different ways, so all this "fixed" commission stuff doesn't get you very far. In addition to direct compensation and yield spread, lenders can also offer volume and performance based bonuses, which you will never see. Brokers can offer similar bonuses to their loan officers, which is just one of the reasons that loan terms can often vary widely among loan officers working for the same brokers.

Anyway, I am done arguing with you about this. If you don't care for my methodology because you've determined it is not optimal for your situation, then simply don't read it, and do what's best for yourself. No need to threadcrap or discount the value of a methodology already judged useful by many other readers (if the amount of green is any indication).Fair enough, although I suspect that the amount of green you've received doesn't mean that people have judged your methodology useful. I suspect that the green in this case means that people do not know enough about this but that it sounds promising. Most people do not know enough about this subject to know what is and is not useful and, as some of the posts in this thread demonstrate, a lot of people are interested in "getting a mortgage at wholesale." What they don't realize is that they may or may not come out ahead when they do that -- this is very different from getting any other product, such as a car, at wholesale rates.

In devising your "methodology," I am afraid that you have misunderstood the mortgage professor's goals in posting all this information on its website. You simply can't use all this information for your intended purposes, but there is a MUCH easier and more effective way to accomplish your goals, which is the same strategy that's been used on this board and elsewhere for quite some time, which is the same very simple strategy several of us mentioned above.

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fboyfboy: It involves reading the two rate quotes off the rate sheet, with net closing costs just above zero, and just below zero. Then linearly interpolate the rate for zero closing costs.

For example:
let's say you find a retailer offering these loans:

5.375% @ net closing cost of +.05 point
5.500% @ net closing cost of -.25 point

You'll do a weghted average calculation of the two rates. To determine the weights, divide one of the distances from zero (IE: .05) by the range (.25 + .05 = .30) That gives 17% weighting (to be applied to the closing cost furthest away from zero.) The remaining weight (100% - 17% = 83%) get weighted to the other rate.

So that breaks down to the following weighted average formula:
(17% * 5.500%) + (83% * 5.375%) = 5.396%

PS - on a retail price sheet, YOU WILL need to inquire about what ALL the closing costs are and take them into consideration. If you are in doubt you are really being disclosed all the information about the costs, ask for a "good faith estimate." In WAMU's case, the closing costs for the "no points" rate sheet loan was $1750 - $1900, and did not vary by loan size. Therefore, for a $400k loan, the additional expected closing cost that must be added to the "points" from the rate sheet is ($1825 / $400,000 = .0045 =) .45 point.

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Off topic and on topic at the same time: I love Fatwallet financial. I revel in it; it's like bathing in data. Secret data.
Okay, that was weird. But I'll be buying in about one year, so I'm reading up now.

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"We already have a number of excellent threads discussing some of the most competitively priced lenders in various market segments and loan programs."

Could someone please direct me to some of the threads that provide a list of competitive lenders.

Thank you
Jim Gilly

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