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Conservative approach to buying stocks with AOR cash Archived From: Finance

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I've employed the strategy below with roughly 15% of my AOR portfolio and it has paid off handsomely. I'm wondering if any of you are doing something similar...

Find stocks that and have a dividend yielding 5-10%. Make sure you can buy/sell options on the stock(s). So far, I've only played this strategy on energy and oil stocks...but anything could work I suppose. Buy the stock and a put option that is at or just slightly below the price of the stock aka in the money. For example, if you buy a 500 shares of a $31 stock, you buy 5 put contracts (expiring in 9-12 months) at a strike price of $30 or $32.50 - this is your insurance against downside risk in the stock. Next, sell 5 covered call option contracts (expiring in 9-12 months) at a strike price of $40. It's very likely the cash you earn from selling the covered calls along with the stock's dividend will at least cover the the purchase of the the 5 put contracts, so there is almost no risk and your upside is the possible appreciation of the stock - which is limited to 30% in my scenario.

Hopefully the above scenario is easy to understand...

With savings rates at 3-4% I'm probably going to increase the % of my portfolio in this strategy. Any thoughts?

Quick Summary is created and edited by users like you... Add FAQ's, Links and other Relevant Information by clicking the edit button in the lower right hand corner of this message.

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The out-of-the money call you sell may not always cover the cost of an at-the-money put for all instances. If the pricing of the options places the out of the money call as greater, the sentiment is bullish so you are giving up the right to part of the appreciation if it is likely to rise in value. If people are bearish, the put will be valued greater than the call so you have to subsidize some of your dividend or return to buy the protective put.

And if it declines in value, you can lose in the sense of the opportunity cost of someplace else you could have placed the money.

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Its a collar with a dividend stock.

You are unlikely to get better than saving account rate without some risk. Risk is relative, your maxium loss might only be a percent or two, but that's balanced against a guarenteed 4% or so profit in a savings account or CD.

Depening upon your tax rate it might be worth it since one can get qualified dividends which are taxed at a lower rate. I'm sure its all priced into the options.

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Bobalude said:The out-of-the money call you sell may not always cover the cost of an at-the-money put for all instances. If the pricing of the options places the out of the money call as greater, the sentiment is bullish so you are giving up the right to part of the appreciation if it is likely to rise in value. If people are bearish, the put will be valued greater than the call so you have to subsidize some of your dividend or return to buy the protective put.

And if it declines in value, you can lose in the sense of the opportunity cost of someplace else you could have placed the money.

Yes, the dividend and the out of the money call are probably just going to cover the cost of the put. And yes, I'm limiting my upside to 30% but I'd be happy with a 30% return when investing 0% AOR cash. My 3-4% CDs and rewards checking accounts aren't earning me squat. It's safe squat, but nonetheless, it's essentially squat.

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mhesidence said:Its a collar with a dividend stock.

You are unlikely to get better than saving account rate without some risk. Risk is relative, your maxium loss might only be a percent or two, but that's balanced against a guarenteed 4% or so profit in a savings account or CD.

Depening upon your tax rate it might be worth it since one can get qualified dividends which are taxed at a lower rate. I'm sure its all priced into the options.

You are probably right...

As I said, I've already been doing this and have done extremely well. My first try at it I put about 40K into equities (about 15% of my overall AOR cash) and I'm outperformed the CDs ten fold. I can't expect this type of return in the future but I could certainly live with an average return of 6%.

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Eh I found saving account to be much more liquid than CD. CD have too much time obligation and hence not AOR materials.
AOR is up again?

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sweetbutter said:Eh I found saving account to be much more liquid than CD. CD have too much time obligation and hence not AOR materials.
AOR is up again?

I agree - I'm at about 50% rewards checking/savings, 15% stocks and 35% in CDs.

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Trading all these options has to be expensive in terms of paying spreads. Unless I really had a strong view that a stock was going to be flat or moderately up (which is what your put + written calls is betting on), I'd just stick to something simple like investing 20% of my A0R cash in stocks (or whatever amount you feel comfortable with) and the rest in a decent cash account.

Then again maybe I'm not the right one to talk since I was using my A0R cash to pay down margin on my short term stock trading, but I digress. It worked out for me, but I certainly don't advise this to others.

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There is something called Put-Call parity, which holds for for European options (exercise only at maturity). With the commonly traded American options, the parity does not hold, but it is a good approximation to reason about different portfolios of puts / calls / stock and cash.

The put-call parity for European options with no dividends states the following:

Call + Cash = Put + Stock, where

Call is 1 call option (not 1 contract), struck at some price K,
Cash is equal to strike price K, discounted by the risk free, rate, i.e., Cash = exp (-rT) * K. Cash represents investment in the term account for a period of T units,
Put is 1 put option, struck at the same price K,
Stock is 1 share of the stock.

This parity must always hold, or else there is an arbitrage. To convince yourself that the parity holds, simply check that in all possible states of the stock price at expiry, both sides are equal:

1. If S_final >= K:

- the Call is worth S_final - K. The cash has now grown to be exactly K, so the left side is equal to S_final,
- the Put is worthless, but the stock is worth S_final. So the right side is equal to S_final,
= right and left sides are equal.

2. If S_final < K:
- the Call is worthless, so the left side is worth K,
- the Put is worth K - S_final. Plus the one share, and you have the right side equal to K,
= right and left sides are equal.

I know that your strategy is a bit different, but assume for a moment that you follow this strategy instead:

- buy the stock,
- buy a put option struck at the current price,
- sell a call option struct at the current price.

In this case, you have basically invested in the term money market / CD account. Dividens don't make a difference, because the effect of known / declared / expected / anticipated dividends is priced into options.

If you sell a call that is struck at higher price than strike price of the put, you are simply taking a different type of risk. A little, but nevertheless some.

Like mhesidence said, your exact position is a collar, and your returns look like the picture in the collar link provided.

Like xerty said, you are paying commissions, spreads, etc. You can build more and more complex derivatives, but you might discover that the combined portfolio is in fact very similar to some simple security, and in the process you have paid a ton of commissions and spreads.

Edited typos, etc.

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tolamapS said:There is something called Put-Call parity. The parity holds exactly for European options (exercise only at maturity). With American options that are commonly traded, it does not hold, but it is a good approximation.

The put-call parity for European options with no dividends states the following:

Call + Cash = Put + Stock, where

Call is 1 call option (not 1 contract), struck at some value K,
Cash is equal to strike price K, discounted by the risk free, rate, i.e., Cash = exp (-rT) * K. Cash represents investment in the money market account (actually, more accurately, it is a term investment account equal to the term of T, i.e., a CD that matures in T units of time,
Put is 1 put option, struct at the save value K,
Stock is 1 share of the stock.

This parity must always hold, or else there is an arbitrage available. To convince yourself that the parity holds, simple check that in all possible states of the stock price at expiry, both sides are equal:

1. If S_final >= K:

- the Call is worth S_final - K. Plus the cash, which has now grown to exactly equal K, and you have the left side equal to S_final,
- the Put is worthless, but the stock is worth S_final. So the left side is equal to S_final,
= right and left sides are equal.

2. If S_final < K:
- the Call is worthless, so the left side is worth K,
- the Put is worth K - S_final. Plus the one share, and you have the right side equal to K,
= right and left sides are equal.

I know that your strategy is a bit different, but assume for a moment that your strategy was a little different, i.e.:

- buy the stock,
- buy a put option struck at the current price,
- sell a call option struct at the current price.

In this case, you have basically invested in the money market / CD account. Knonwn dividens don't make a difference, because the effect of known / declared / expected / anticipated dividends is priced into options.

If you sell a call that is truct higher, you are simply taking a different type of risk. A little, but nevertheless some.

Like mhesidence said, your exact position is a collar, and your returns look like the picture in the collar link provided.

Like xerty said, you are paying commissions, spreads, etc. You can build more and more complex derivatives, but if you might discover that the combined portfolio is in fact very similar to some simple security, and in the process you have paid a ton of commissions and spreads.

Thanks for your insight....appreciate it....

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I don't really understand collars, so I'll just second the idea of buying stocks with an even smaller percentage of the a0r money.

For instance, if you had 10% invested in diversified stocks, even if the market did really, really bad, and lost 50%, then you'd be out 5% of your a0r money. Now sure, in a low interest rate environment, that would probably create a net loss on the a0r, but not a catastrophic one.

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You made $$ NOT because your strategy. The reason is that Energy Stocks have been on fire for 5-6 years.

ANYWAY,using credit card debts to buy stock is playing with fire. Good luck!

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Unless you have the money on hand to pay back, in full, your AOR debt when due, buying stocks with AOR money is a horrible idea. If you cannot cover the debt from other sources you are basically locking yourself into selling your stock at a specific time. You have no idea of and no control over if the stock price will be up, down, or the same on that day.

High yield savings account probably the best "conservative" BT investment strategy;
something like GM Demand Notes or other short-term notes a "Moderate" strategy,
and investing on Prosper.com could be an "aggressive" strategy for someone who plans to repay at least some AOR money from other funds.

Stock investments have no place in the AOR game. They're a different game entirely.

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Kanosh said:
Stock investments have no place in the AOR game. They're a different game entirely.

Nah, as long as one uses a protective put its not a risky strategy. One will, at worst, know the exact max loss before the trade and should be able to pay that loss. Of course its not for newbies who've never done a stock or options trade.

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mhesidence said:Kanosh said:
Stock investments have no place in the AOR game. They're a different game entirely.


Nah, as long as one uses a protective put its not a risky strategy. One will, at worst, know the exact max loss before the trade and should be able to pay that loss. Of course its not for newbies who've never done a stock or options trade.
SEC Statistics: 90% of options trades lose money.

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how about short term bond ETF ?

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Kanosh said:mhesidence said:Kanosh said:
Stock investments have no place in the AOR game. They're a different game entirely.


Nah, as long as one uses a protective put its not a risky strategy. One will, at worst, know the exact max loss before the trade and should be able to pay that loss. Of course its not for newbies who've never done a stock or options trade.
SEC Statistics: 90% of options trades lose money.

What does that statistic have to do with this strategy?

In a collar, buying put and selling a call pretty much cancel each other out cost wise. There is no "risk" to the capital if the protective put strike price is high enough.

Quick real life example Citibank C, current price $24.31

Buy 1 C DEC 2008 22.5 Put (.CXA) $2.46 $246.00
Sell -1 C DEC 2008 25 Call (.CLE) $2.68 ($268.00)
Buy 100 C DEC 2008 25 (C) $24.31 $2,431.00

$91 profit if C is >= $25/share
$159 loss if C is <= $22.5/share

Plus three dividend payments of $0.32/share or $32 * 3 = $96.

Max loss $63, max profit $187. Only a little over 3% APY on max profit, which not suprisingly, is about what money markets are getting (but you could get captial gains rates on the dividends). Not a good trade espeically when you add in commisions and when you can get a sure bet in a saving accout, but I'm sure searching and playing with strike prices one could find better.

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Mistake

Never spend AOR on anything not guaranteed or that you can pay back with your own funds.

AOR proceeds - I write RIMM/GOOG options with some of mine

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mikeccall said:mhesidence said:Its a collar with a dividend stock.

You are unlikely to get better than saving account rate without some risk. Risk is relative, your maxium loss might only be a percent or two, but that's balanced against a guarenteed 4% or so profit in a savings account or CD.

Depening upon your tax rate it might be worth it since one can get qualified dividends which are taxed at a lower rate. I'm sure its all priced into the options.


You are probably right...

As I said, I've already been doing this and have done extremely well. My first try at it I put about 40K into equities (about 15% of my overall AOR cash) and I'm outperformed the CDs ten fold. I can't expect this type of return in the future but I could certainly live with an average return of 6%.


Preserved. If you are making those kind of returns you are doing something very wrong. As has been mentioned the whole concept of put-call parity is to eliminate any return great than the risk free rate for this strategy. If you really want to learn, please post either the past trades or current positions you hold. I would hate to see you lost 15% of your AOR portfolio, this sounds like a very risky strategy.

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