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$37000 today or $902 per month at age 55 until dealth? Archived From: Finance

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I am 31 and leaving a job where there is a pension plan. I am vested and can take out $37000, my contribution thus far and roll it over to an IRA. Or should I leave it in the pension plan and get $902/month at age 55 until death.


I figured at a rate of 7% compounded annually, $37000 will be 187,677.57; 8% compounded annually for 24 years, $37000 will be 234,623.68.

Thanks!!!

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MustSav3 said:I am 31 and leaving a job where there is a pension plan. I am vested and can take out $37000, my contribution thus far and roll it over to an IRA. Or should I leave it in the pension plan and get $902/month at age 55 until death.


I figured at a rate of 7% compounded annually, $37000 will be 187,677.57; 8% compounded annually for 24 years, $37000 will be 234,623.68.

Thanks!!!

It looks like you already did the research. If you make 7% returns, you should be able to take >$902/month at age 55 and still have money in you account. I really can't see an upside to leaving it in the pension plan.

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When can you take out funds from your IRA w/out penalty/extra taxes consequences? And can you use it towards buying a first home?

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I think likely the best option is to take it out and invest it.
Since you have a fixed payout at age 55 of 902 it's not that optimistic to beat this given stock market avgs over long periods of time.

As you said with 8% annually you could have 234623.68.
If you take interest income off that amount once you turn 55, (I used 4%) you get 782.08 a month in interest.
If you wait till your past 57 you will be making slightly more than your guaranteed payout at 912.22 a month.
Obviously the longer you wait the longer it has to compound and the more will have to draw interest on.
Waiting till your 65 and 8% and taking only 4% in interest after that you get monthly payments of 1688.45.


In short, take the money and let it compound for as long as possible then enjoy

p.s. I have your situation in an excel sheet you can change the interest rate predictions and time periods etc. If you want it just PM me.

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I'd have to say the $902 a month until death is appealing to me.

$902 mo equates to $10,824 per year -- if you assume 4% to be the "safe withdrawal rate" for a lump sum to last you through retirement, that equates to $7,507 and $9,384 respectively if you reached the 7% or 8% rates of return.

You definitely give yourself a little more flexibility, though, if you rolled it into the IRA.

I'm 35 myself so I can appreciate the decision you're thinking about. With Social Security the way it is, the "guaranteed" $ per month before death has its appeal and would probably lean tht way.

What'd be somewhat interesting is - what would a $902/mo guaranteed annuity cost you if you were 55 and buying it now and expected it to become effective immediately? Maybe that's the "lump sum" you should be comparing when you're dealing with 187K and 234K in your calculations. (This may be a naive statement, I've heard annuities tend to be overpriced.)

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MustSav3 said:When can you take out funds from your IRA w/out penalty/extra taxes consequences? And can you use it towards buying a first home?

You can use an IRA for a first time home purchase. I think you are allowed to take 10,000 with no penalty. A Roth IRA I think has to be open for 5 years though, a traditional IRA doesn't have this stipulation.

Also No penalties for money taken out between 59 1/2 to 70 1/2 years old. After 70 1/2 years there are some wierd rules for not taking out enough money which I don't know anything about.

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MustSav3 said:When can you take out funds from your IRA w/out penalty/extra taxes consequences? And can you use it towards buying a first home?

You can take it out after 59 1/2 without penalty (absent any exceptions). one of those exceptions to penalty (not ordinary taxes) is for qualifying first home purchase (up to $10k). see IRS pub 590 for more info.

I would lean toward rolling into an IRA. it gives you more flexibility, and with decent returns over the next 24 years, you would likely have enough to purchase an immediate annuity with payments of 900/mo and still have funds left over (if you wanted an annuity).

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Is the 902 in current dollars? Does it get adjusted for inflation? 7 percent is a little optimistic, considering you'd likely scale your risk back as you approached retirment.

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$902 will not be adjusted to inflation...

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Always take the money and control it yourself. As for people saying 7% is optimistic they are investing in really bad investments. You should be able to invest in things that return 8-10% long term with a normal amount of risk.

What if you die at 56? Your wife/kids get nothing whereas if you control the money you can pass it on.

This is an example of a low risk portfolio (I would go much higher if I were your age) and even it returned better than 8% over the last 10 years. Control the money and put it into a portfolio that fits your risk level.

If your investments perform poorly and reach $187,000 (Your 7% figure), great. If they do what they should and perform over 10% for the next 30 years, even better.

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supabill said:

You can use an IRA for a first time home purchase. I think you are allowed to take 10,000 with no penalty. A Roth IRA I think has to be open for 5 years though, a traditional IRA doesn't have this stipulation.

I just read IRS Publication 590 and I don't see this stipulation regarding the 5 years. Do you have this documented elsewhere? I was hoping to use my Roth for the down payment on a house next year, but my account has only been open 3 years, so I really want to verify this.

Thanks!

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A traditional pension is special, and hard to find nowadays. I mean, risk is a huge problem in retirement saving, and an old school pension takes away a huge portion of that. I'd give my eye teeth for a pension.

to confirm, since this pension benefit wouldn't kick in for another 20+ years, you're saying it will STILL only be $902 in 203 dollars, and will remain at that level forever? That would be a bit of a bummer, since $902 won't be much money in 25 years. Might pay your utility bill, though.

As a reality check, if a 55 year old Ohioan RIGHT NOW were to buy an annuity good until they die from Fidelity, with $37,000, it would get them $225 a month (also non inflation adjusted)

Now we have to extrapolate 24 years in the future. First, extrapolate the $37,000 at an risk-free rate of 4%, and you get $94,800 when you retire. A Fidelity annuity bought with that much money yields $577 monthly payments. As far as I can tell, no other inflation adjusting would need to be done.

Of course, with the pension, there is employer risk. If the employer defaults on the pension, it's probably taken over by teh Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp, and that might reduce the benefit (I'm not sure, I'm not very familiar with it, and it's not a very large pension, you might be clear).

If it was me, I'd vote to keep the pension.

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TxAggieJen said:supabill said:

You can use an IRA for a first time home purchase. I think you are allowed to take 10,000 with no penalty. A Roth IRA I think has to be open for 5 years though, a traditional IRA doesn't have this stipulation.



I just read IRS Publication 590 and I don't see this stipulation regarding the 5 years. Do you have this documented elsewhere? I was hoping to use my Roth for the down payment on a house next year, but my account has only been open 3 years, so I really want to verify this.

Thanks!

Link

That's where I got that 5 year thing from.

It's possible that this applies to gains made in the IRA but I'm not certain. Meaning you could take 10k worth of contributions out but not gains until 5 years without penalty. Sorry I don't know the specifics since I didn't have to do this. Someone else can maybe shed some more light on what this means.

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MustSav3 said:....After 70 1/2 years there are some weird rules for not taking out enough money which I don't know anything about.RMD - Required Minimum Distributions are intended to encourage retirees to use (and pay income taxes on) their retirement savings instead of leaving tax-deferred estates to heirs who might then defer paying taxes until they too pass the estate on to their heirs, ad infinitum. The government wants those taxes!

At age 70 1/2, the retiree has to withdraw a minimum of 1/27.4 of the balance. If he has an IRA of $500,000, the RMD is $500,000 divided by 27.4 = $18,248.

The next year the divisor changes to 26.5, then 25.6, etc.. At age 80 it's 18.7 and at age 100 it's 6.3.

Expect the divisors to change. They were just increased to reflect increasing life expectancies. That means retirees are required to withdraw less each year.

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supabill said:TxAggieJen said:supabill said:

You can use an IRA for a first time home purchase. I think you are allowed to take 10,000 with no penalty. A Roth IRA I think has to be open for 5 years though, a traditional IRA doesn't have this stipulation.



I just read IRS Publication 590 and I don't see this stipulation regarding the 5 years. Do you have this documented elsewhere? I was hoping to use my Roth for the down payment on a house next year, but my account has only been open 3 years, so I really want to verify this.

Thanks!


Link

That's where I got that 5 year thing from.

It's possible that this applies to gains made in the IRA but I'm not certain. Meaning you could take 10k worth of contributions out but not gains until 5 years without penalty. Sorry I don't know the specifics since I didn't have to do this. Someone else can maybe shed some more light on what this means.
For a Roth IRA, You can take out any/all of the contributions at any time penalty free. The 5 year rule is with regards to taking out the earnings under an exception.

So, buy a house before the 5 year period: take out all your contributions tax free, excise tax applies to any earnings taken out.
Buy a house past the 5 year period: take out all your contributions and up to $10K of your earnings tax free, excise tax applies to any earnings in excess of the $10K taken out.

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Don't forget to google "underfunded pensions".

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Don't forget that you'll only get that $902 if the company doesn't default on its pension obligations in the next 25 years. If they default on their pension obligations, the government takes it over and pays out whatever it can from the assets are left, you could wind up with a lot less.

Also, if it's in an IRA and you want to retire before 55, you can use IRS rule 72T to start drawing on that money early. You could take that IRA, pay taxes on it now, and roll it into a Roth IRA for some tax free income in retirement - in 2010, you can do this with any amount, otherwise you have to watch that the additional income doesn't put you over the $100k income limits for a Roth contribution. Or, if you didn't need it, a Roth IRA doesn't require minimum distributions at any age - all other retirement accounts require you to start taking minimum withdrawals after 70 1/2.

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If you assume a fixed rate of return for your investment, then the breakeven annual rate is 0.0648 (just do a Goal-Seek in excel).

I am not saying you can achieve an average 6.48% rate of return over the next 24 years for sure, but to me, it seems like a better option to have control over your own money.

Use / invest it wisely, though.

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Take the money and run.

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