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Dealguy123
- Senior Member - 2K
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 10:30a
DavidScubadiver said:Goldman is the ONE company that is synonymous with sound investing, and if they fail, nobody succeeds. Sound Investing?! LOL A hundred billion of level 3 assets "sound investing?!" Lay down the crack pipe.. |
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FatFreddie
- Senior Member - 2K
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 10:34a
Funny how this bailout idea from Paulsen came on the day when Goldman's stock was being hit hard. Hank Paulsen, current Secretary of the Treasury, is former CEO of Goldman. Crony capitalism, in your face. Where is the outrage? |
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nycll
- Geeky member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 10:36a
DavidScubadiver said:I get a lot of red, and I understand that people think this is unfair. But think for a moment what life would be like if the government let the last of the independent investment banks fail -- one that was not stricken by the toxic housing losses, one that made it possible for business to take place. It would have been bad. Thousands of people would have lost their jobs, we'd go into a deep deep recession and the stock market would have collapsed. Goldman is the ONE company that is synonymous with sound investing, and if they fail, nobody succeeds.I didn't give you red but I agree with those to did. RTC is not the curbs on short sellings, which did need to be restricted. The RTC idea only makes sense if fundamentally the "bad" assets it pledges to buy are not really bad. I don't believe it since the underlying deterioration in housing, commercial real estate, and the small to midium companies are still underway. |
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Morty
- Senior Member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 10:36a
DavidScubadiver said:I get a lot of red, and I understand that people think this is unfair. But think for a moment what life would be like if the government let the last of the independent investment banks fail -- one that was not stricken by the toxic housing losses, one that made it possible for business to take place. It would have been bad. Thousands of people would have lost their jobs, we'd go into a deep deep recession and the stock market would have collapsed. Goldman is the ONE company that is synonymous with sound investing, and if they fail, nobody succeeds. We understand you have a hard-on for Goldman (sorry for the imagery, that's what it sounds like). So a bunch of i-bankers lose their jobs. How does that affect the plumber in Ohio, the teacher in California, the GM worker in Michigan whose job is at risk anyway? So new businesses need to look elsewhere for funding, and its harder to start a new one. How does that end the economy as we know it and start a global meltdown? I really just want to know what I'm getting for sending my $4000 check to the government for this bailout, because Goldamn and Morgan took too much risk. |
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DavidScubadiver
- Frivolous Member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 10:53a
Let me try this again. What would those who are giving me red would have liked to see? People have been permitted to drive Goldman out of business? That we let the markets collapse? That we let fear completely destroy our country while the "runs" were made on MONEY MARKET funds? Hmmm? You realize, those funds are made up of short term commercial paper from virtually every publicly traded company in the country? Do you have ANY idea what it would have been like if these companies lost access to the capital markets because "main street" decided to take their money elsewhere? Disaster. Absolute disaster was possible. People were terrified. Now they are not. |
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DavidScubadiver
- Frivolous Member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 10:55a
Lol, Morty, the teaher in Ohio has her money with the State Teacher's Retirement system, and when the capital markets freeze up, that retirement fund is hit, and hit hard. The new businesses can't look elsewhere if the money market funds stop buying their paper because main street stops making deposits and only makes withdrawals. Edited: Goldman did not take on too much risk. Goldman was fine. It was the short sellers driving their stock price down that put them in jeopardy. |
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michal1980
- Senior Member - 5K
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 11:05a
DavidScubadiver said:Lol, Morty, the teaher in Ohio has her money with the State Teacher's Retirement system, and when the capital markets freeze up, that retirement fund is hit, and hit hard. The new businesses can't look elsewhere if the money market funds stop buying their paper because main street stops making deposits and only makes withdrawals.
Edited: Goldman did not take on too much risk. Goldman was fine. It was the short sellers driving their stock price down that put them in jeopardy. are you a Goldman employee?
What would I do? IF the bailout was needed, i'd start attaching conditions. First, all these i-bank boards, and exce's would be let go. I'd start putting caps on their income, make it some multiple of the number of employees the company has x average salary. Then i'd just start shutting down companies. What punhsiment is there for investors in crap, if mommy big goverment, bails you out. When I lost my job, couldn't pay for my car and credit cards, did big goverment send me a check? Nope.
actaully, I'd work backwards. if this is really going to cost us 1 trillion dollars. I'd just cut people a check for a few grand so they can pay off some of their mortage, or save money. |
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DavidScubadiver
- Frivolous Member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 11:17a
I am not a Goldman employee. But, who are the "they" on whose income you would put a cap? The people who know how to make money would just leave the firm and start up their own trading company. As long as you have a market you will have traders. Goldman, as a rule, has a great culture and among the best people. They did nothing wrong. They keep this country running as much as the government does. If you want capital markets you need investment bankers. If you want the government to own the capital markets that is a whole different ballgame. I am sorry you lost your job and could not pay your bills. I expect that the government sent you a check despite your saying they did not. You should have gotten unemployment benefits. I am not saying your job is unimportant, but if we took 6 Goldman guys who helped 1 company raise 200 million dollars to build a power plant that employed 900 people, well, frankly, their job was more important. |
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Morty
- Senior Member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 11:19a
DavidScubadiver said:Lol, Morty, the teaher in Ohio has her money with the State Teacher's Retirement system, and when the capital markets freeze up, that retirement fund is hit, and hit hard. The new businesses can't look elsewhere if the money market funds stop buying their paper because main street stops making deposits and only makes withdrawals.
Edited: Goldman did not take on too much risk. Goldman was fine. It was the short sellers driving their stock price down that put them in jeopardy.Of course, I'm sure Goldman never used short selling as a strategy to make money either. Its what short sellers do in the market. See weakness, pounce. But a real question that may be too long for an internet forum. (I don't see Goldman failing, as people who see it at a huge bargain would start buying it up to counter the short sellers -- I myself really thought about buying it yesterday, considering it oversold)But how does Goldman failing cause a loss to the retirement fund? The capital market are already restricted, the stock market is already down, the retirement fund is already hit. Individual stocks (other than the banks and financial companies) aren't collapsing at the same rate, so people see more value and less risk in them. Why not let the Goldmans and Morgans and the crappy banks die off, and let the good ones continue to issue credit. If the credit market can't handle this downturn, those firms took on too much risk and should fail. So the new funding comes from venture capitalists, Arab sheiks, and grandma with her mattress money. They see good deals, fund them, and the process starts anew. And anyone who bought low and the company survives ends up making money. The beauty of capitalism, right? |
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DavidScubadiver
- Frivolous Member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 11:23a
No, Morty, it you are missing the point. Goldman is one of the BEST of the BEST. They are not a crappy bank. Had they failed, which was always possible if only because people thought they might and were afraid to invest (I bought their stock this week because I know in my heart of hears they are a sound company), it would have shaken the market to its core. There would have been financial crisis of immense proportions, similar to if AIG had failed. You would be unable to get loans, your company would be unable to get loans, car dealerships would fail, kids would be unable to afford tuition because student loan markets would collapse. The loss to the financial system has, for now, been entirely recovered. |
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Shandril
- Frivolous Member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 11:26a
DavidScubadiver said:People were terrified. Now they are not. That's the problem there. People had no fear of losing money in real estate investments. They had no fear of lending to people who had stated income only. They had no fear buying securitized products with which you couldn't really tell the quality of underlying mortgages. Etc. Risk was grossly underevaluated. We've seen where this has led us. This RTC 2.0 sends the message that ultimately they were right to dismiss lending/investment risk and that it's fine to repeat this in the future. Heads they win, tails taxpayers lose. You know sometimes you need shock therapy to pound some sense (and fear, caution, etc.) into people. This RTC 2.0 will only delay the necessary market correction and the following recovery. Instead of a sharp correction that paves the way for saner market next year, we (taxpayers) will be paying for this over many years and set us up for reoccurence once memory of this mess fades. And that's without getting into the moral hazard of who gets rescued, who doesn't, and who's too big to fail or not. I can start a small business gambling that customers are gonna buy my product like hotcakes. If it happens, bingo. If not, why should I not get bailed out like the big guys and dump my debt onto the government for the taxpayer to foot my bill? Think about the message it sends to business school new grads. Take as much risk as possible. Great if it pays off, if it doesn't taxpayers' got your back. |
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Dealguy123
- Senior Member - 2K
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 11:27a
Dumbo Dave can't see my post.. so someone get this message to him. How are they so great if they have ~$100B of "level 3" (read: off balance sheet assets) that they won't disclose? The best of the worst is not something to be proud of. It's like asking who was worse, Stalin or Hitler? They have a lot of s**t sandwiches on their books. So, saying that they have no risk is the height of stupidity/ignorance. They likely have MASSIVE CDS exposure, and are just like everyone else. Praying for someone to bail their a**es out. The problem here is trust! I don't know what's so hard for people to understand. MANY banks have the same "off balance sheet" crap, and they can't/won't disclose it because it will likely make them bankrupt. Instead, they're offloading it onto the taxpayers. |
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DavidScubadiver
- Frivolous Member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 11:30a
Shandril, I do not disagree. (Love your avatar by the way). This was not an elegant solution, and hopefully there will be considerably more oversight in the future to make sure that "risk" is not chopped up so finely as to be negligible and then packaged into something that can poison the world. I honestly believe that more government oversight will help rather than hurt things. I just don't think it would have been a good idea to let everything collapse and let people run around like Mad Max because everybody's jobs were lost while companies dealt with the fact that they could not raise any capital because all of the investment bankers disappeared and nobody wanted to keep their money in the money market funds.... |
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michal1980
- Senior Member - 5K
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 11:32a
DavidScubadiver said:Shandril, I do not disagree. (Love your avatar by the way). This was not an elegant solution, and hopefully there will be considerably more oversight in the future to make sure that "risk" is not chopped up so finely as to be negligible and then packaged into something that can poison the world. I honestly believe that more government oversight will help rather than hurt things. I just don't think it would have been a good idea to let everything collapse and let people run around like Mad Max because everybody's jobs were lost while companies dealt with the fact that they could not raise any capital because all of the investment bankers disappeared and nobody wanted to keep their money in the money market funds.... theres plent of banks that had rates as good if not better then money market. MMF's were a scam. |
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DavidScubadiver
- Frivolous Member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 11:35a
Michal, that may be, but its a scam that funds this country. All of the companies get their money from short term paper bought by money market funds. You may think it is silly, and it might even be silly, but the fact remains that they serve an important role. |
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sensia
- Broke Member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 11:52a
We are the country of biggest whinners on paper- this should be the time to walk on the streets and demand that Fed should not misuse our tax $ inappropriately. Length of this thread can reach 30-40 pages long which will finally have zero effect on Fed. |
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nycll
- Geeky member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 11:59a
DavidScubadiver said:Goldman did not take on too much risk. Goldman was fine. It was the short sellers driving their stock price down that put them in jeopardy.I could easily see that billions of goldman position got sold to RTC2.0. |
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nycll
- Geeky member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 12:05p
DavidScubadiver said:Let me try this again. What would those who are giving me red would have liked to see? If we could dial back the clock to january 2008, I'd like to see Paulson and Benanke had realized the capital or insolvency issue in the banking system. They should have opened the lending window to non-bank brokers before the run on Bear. They should have left Bear fail if it could not survive with the liquidity help. A failure or near death of Bear without government's help would have set lots of people's priorities right. |
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michal1980
- Senior Member - 5K
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 12:06p
sensia said:We are the country of biggest whinners on paper- this should be the time to walk on the streets and demand that Fed should not misuse our tax $ inappropriately. Length of this thread can reach 30-40 pages long which will finally have zero effect on Fed. i contacted my congressmen and sentors. And David:
I didn't get a goverment check because I was a part time employee. But I bet that I'd have my job, and the paychecks would start coming. I got a car, some stuff on credit, etc. I accept that it was my fault. However your saying the big that because these banks got so big, someone else needs to help them out. pphhff. WHY? because other big banks will go down? If theres a need for lending, it will come back as soon as the dust settles. But were not allowing it happen. And 'they' are the people running companies. IMHO, my solution was very elegant, if your a big company you get paid more, you pay your workers alot, you get paid alot. you downsize, your pay downsizes.
Theres no 'cap' on how much money you can make, as long as your making everyone you work with alot of money, you'll make alot too. |
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SUNNY
- Senior Member
posted: Sep. 19, 2008 @ 12:06p
Copied from another forum: "This bailout is the most disgusting form of market manipulation I've ever seen. Creating a taxpayer-funded company to take the crap off the balance sheets of banks that willingly assumed such risk is bordering on criminal. They are stealing taxpayer money to help fat cats in banks bolster their stock options. It's like Robin Hood in reverse. Taking over Fannie and Freddie made some sense as that helped homeowners, while wiping out the shareholders. However, this really doesn't. It simply burdens responsible taxpayers with the errors of the rich, greedy and stupid. Paulson said he was drawing a line in the sand with Lehman and that there would be no more bailouts. 3 days later, he decides to set up an entity to bail out all and sundry. If this were some emerging economy, the US would be rolling their eyes and complaining how the government was stifling the free market. Furthermore, if this suggestion was instigated by the head of an emerging market Treasury, who was formerly the head of one of the companies that would be directly bailed out by this, US pundits would be tut tutting at the level of corruption in such Banana Republic. But it's the U.S. so it's okay. This is a very sad day for the free markets." |
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