Sorry, you just don't understand the fundamentals of finance, mortgages, or how the entire process works. KingCheap said:First of all, it seems as though some of you that have responded read into my comment and the article from The Huffington Post, something that isn't actually there - the word 'bailout'. What some market analysts and commentators are suggesting isn't a new bailout to bring rates down, but simply using the existing one already passed, which I didn't like in the first place, to help influence the rates down. I personally believe that no bailout money is needed in order to bring the rates down as this will inevitably happen.
How does the government influence rate? The government doesn't really influence rates, it is the federal reserve that influences rates. They do this by raising and lowering the amount of money in the money supply. They can also do this by changing the the short term rate for the discount window. This is the rate that banks borrow from the Federal Reserve on an overnight basis.
Secondly, are any of you that this has struck a nerve with actually wanting higher rates? If so, is it because of a vested interest in seeing rates go up? Or, are you merely reflecting what many mortgage brokers are saying to their potential clients 'don't wait for a lower rate, lock now' simply because they need the business in this dead real estate market?
None of the above. What you are suggesting is fundamentally improbable. You are asking the government to ask the bank to lower interest rates. Please explain to me by what mechanism you would want the government to do this. Banks serve the function of taking in deposits (your checking, savings, and CDs) and lending them out (mortgages, auto loans, and credit cards). If you lower the rate of one, you have to lower the rate of the other. [This was a point that you didn't get from your previous post...that both of them are interconnected].
Secondly, the 10 year treasury bond is at 4% interest. So banks have a choice of 1) lending money to treasury at 4% at absolutely (as far as we know) no risk or 2) lend it out to a home owner at significant risk. To account for the risk of the second option, they have to lend at a higher rate than the treasury the treasury is paying. In an environment where the prices of homes are dropping significantly, they have to account for this risk. Let's just say this: Given the choice, would you put your money into an ING account at 3.75% or lend me the money at 4%. If you were going to lend to me, you would clearly only do that if I was paying significantly more than the risk of me as a creditor
I, along with other business reporters and analysts believe this economy will not turn around until we see rates around 5% or lower for qualified buyers. This does not necessarily mean we believe the Fed should pump additional money into banks to acquire this goal, even though that has been done in the first half of the 20th century to effectively buy points on behalf of home buyers.
That is fine and dandy. But as I said previously, how do you get rates to be 5%? George Bush can't just walk onto the trading floor at Goldman Sachs and say "hey buddy, can you guys lower interest rates?"
Lastly, does anyone agree that a 30 year fixed mortgage rate of .875% less than what we are seeing now (Pen Fed is at 5.875 as of 11/11/08), would benefit the nation? I believe it would. Do I think it will happen? Yes. The question is when. I have stated, sooner is better than later in order to offset some of the deeping impact of this crisis. Surely, most regular consumers, home owners, home builders, construction workers, real estate professionals, building supply industries and many others would agree a lower rate would benefit the economy. Again, lowering rates does not solve the problem that we have now. Lowering rates will not help the guy that has a loan to value (LTV) of > 100%. Why would any banks refinance $500K mortgage to a house that is now worth $300K? Here's the fundamental problem: You are talking about a goal, but not discussing the path to get there Please explain to me how you want banks or the government to lower interest rate What market mechanism should the government use to do such a thing? What are some of the impacts to the creditors? This is really nothing more than: 1) Steal underpants 2) ??? 3) Profit! |