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nycll
- Geeky member
posted: Nov. 11, 2008 @ 9:13p
dreamlogic said:If the banks are ripping people off with inflated interest rates, they're sure doing a really bad job of it considering how much money they're losing in mortgages.who else can't make the simple connection: the banks were losing money before but they are ripping people off today, because they need to build up the depleted capital. |
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KingCheap
- Member
posted: Nov. 11, 2008 @ 9:30p
Again, lowering rates does not solve the problem that we have now. Lowering rates will not help the guy that has a loan to value (LTV) of > 100%. Why would any banks refinance $500K mortgage to a house that is now worth $300K?
No, it certainly does not solve the whole problem. A big part of that problem is the fact that many lenders gave out way too much money to those who did not really have the income to pay for such a size loan. When my wife and I went to the bank for a construction loan we, like many at the time, were told we could actually afford a much bigger loan then what we could actually pay for. We knew our budget and rejected the high loan amount and only asked for the amount we actually needed. And, this was at one of the strictest of banks who only want the cream of the crop, so to speak, for borrowers. I feel bad for those whose homes have devalued. My comment, and the article I quoted, was simply stating a goal, yes a goal, for lenders and qualified buyers, not for those already in a pickel. Like I said, I'm not a know-it-all and certainly don't have all the answers. At least, I made some wise decisions with my own finances and didn't go with a bigger loan then what i could actually afford. Rates must come down. If not, this economy is headed for a very long deep pit.
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KingCheap
- Member
posted: Nov. 11, 2008 @ 9:32p
nycll said:who else can't make the simple connection: the banks were losing money before but they are ripping people off today, because they need to build up the depleted capital. Exactly! But, they will have to lower rates eventually. |
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nycll
- Geeky member
posted: Nov. 11, 2008 @ 9:35p
^^^The goal is to have a ultra low mortgage rate for high quality borrower. The means to achieve that goal is the mom 'n pop program. If the long term rate skyrockets, then god help us. |
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tazzy531
- Senior Member - 3K
posted: Nov. 11, 2008 @ 9:38p
KingCheap said:I think Mike Garibaldi-Frick of The Huffington Post put it best in his recent article which I will quote from:
First of all, Mike Garibaldi-Frick has no background in finance. Mike is the guiding force behind the inspirational community art movement, EvolveArts -- his life's work and ongoing creative vehicle. In 1990 Mike formed EvolveArts to bring provocative public art installations out of galleries and museums and into open, public spaces for everyone to enjoy and interpret. The installations are designed to catalyze action, rekindle human connection and stimulate thoughtful and positive attention on important social issues by weaving together art, culture, community and media in constructive forums.
Low Mortgage Rates:
While home buyers cheer the bargain borrowing costs, some economists admit to being puzzled and concerned. If mortgage rates keep sliding, they will pump up any bubble. But if rates snap up suddenly, a bubble could pop, with both prices and investment dropping sharply, hurting many borrowers and investors.
Global financial markets, not any government body, determine long-term interest rates through their bond trading each day. High demand for bonds pushes up their price and drives down their yield, yield being their effective interest rate after factoring in their purchase price. A combination of factors keep driving demand and pushing rates down, forces that have "much more to do with speculation, hedging and politics than . . . with actual investment merit," wrote Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital Inc., a Newport Beach, Calif., investment firm, in a recent analysis. "Once these forces reverse, expect bond prices to plunge and interest rates to soar."
This is why interest rates haven't come down after the bailout: http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/10/27/opinion/edkrugman.php
There's also bizarre stuff going on with regard to the mortgage market. I thought that the whole point of the federal takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the lending agencies, was to remove fears about their solvency and thereby lower mortgage rates. But top officials have made a point of denying that Fannie and Freddie debt is backed by the "full faith and credit" of the U.S. government - and as a result, markets are still treating the agencies' debt as a risky asset, driving mortgage rates up at a time when they should be going down.
What's happening, I suspect, is that the Bush administration's anti-government ideology still stands in the way of effective action.
Events have forced Paulson into a partial nationalization of the financial system - but he refuses to use the power that comes with ownership.
The solution isn't to lower interest rate. The solution is price stability. If nobody knows where the bottom is going to be, nobody is going to be willing to invest into the system. Because there are so many uncertainties, people are pulling out of investments left and right which caused the credit crisis a couple months back which we're still feeling now. It's not the fact that banks don't want to lower interest rates, it's just that they are incapable of doing so. If you want a better understanding of finance and how the market works get off Huffington Post and read: The Economist Economist View Blog |
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PMonkeyDishwasher
- Senior Member - 2K
posted: Nov. 11, 2008 @ 10:07p
KingCheap said:nycll said:who else can't make the simple connection: the banks were losing money before but they are ripping people off today, because they need to build up the depleted capital.
Exactly! But, they will have to lower rates eventually. Yes, and they'll lower them when they are sure they can remain financially solvent and well-capitalized while doing so. So have fun waiting along with the rest of us. |
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KingCheap
- Member
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 11:03a
I'm not alone in my view about rates coming down, the government's ability to help cause this and banks marking up rates: From Jeff Lazerson, president, Mortgage Grader: "Some banks still refuse to lend or they mark up rates excessively because they don't believe home prices are anywhere close to bottom. Treasury and the Fed will likely push rates down through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages. Lower rates will help to stabilize property values." Dan Dowling, senior mortgage adviser/president, United Mortgage Capital Corp: "Overall the election results will favor bond and mortgage backed securities prices. These financial instruments, i.e., mortgage-backs, will be increasingly utilized as mechanisms for social and political policy." Holden Lewis, Bankrate.com: There has been speculation that the Treasury has been responsible for at least one sharp rate drop by buying lots of mortgage-backed securities. That would have the effect of driving up bond prices, which would cause yields to drop -- and mortgage rates would follow. Brian Koss, managing partner with Mortgage Network Inc., a mortgage bank based in Westford, Mass., traces the rate drop to something more prosaic than the Treasury putting its thumb on the scales. He hears that mortgage servicers are buying loans, thus driving up prices and ... you get the picture. He says servicers are buying mortgages because they are steadily running out of loans to manage, in a process called runoff. Mortgages are being paid off when houses are sold, either willingly or in foreclosure. Because servicers are in the business of servicing mortgages, they don't really have the option of allowing all their loans to run off. If they did that, they would be out of business. So Koss' theory is that servicers are buying loans, and indirectly pushing rates down. |
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kamalktk
- Ancient Member
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 11:13a
KingCheap said:I, along with other business reporters and analysts believe .... You're a business reporter?  |
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ZenNUTS
- Broke Member
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 11:19a
KingCheap said:I'm not alone in my view about rates coming down, the government's ability to help cause this and banks marking up rates:<<<<zippppped>>>>>.I ... can... not... resist.. anymore. Stop quoting stuff you don't understand or out of context. For the sake of internet gods! |
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DamnoIT
- Senior Member - 4K
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 11:23a
How bout a tiered loan rate that is only achieved or refinanceable when you have 40%-50% LTV |
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tazzy531
- Senior Member - 3K
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 11:32a
KingCheap said:I'm not alone in my view about rates coming down, the government's ability to help cause this and banks marking up rates:
From Jeff Lazerson, president, Mortgage Grader: "Some banks still refuse to lend or they mark up rates excessively because they don't believe home prices are anywhere close to bottom. Treasury and the Fed will likely push rates down through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages. Lower rates will help to stabilize property values."
Fanny and Freddie do not originate mortgages. They affect mortgage interest by purchasing the mortgages and securitizing it. As I said previously, as long as there are people willing to buy mortgage backed securities, mortgages rates will drop. If banks can pass off the risk of holding onto the mortgage to the investors, they will absolutely lower rates. This is what got us in this mess in the first place. Investors were willing to buy MBS that was backed by junk. As long as there was a buyer, banks will lend to anyone. In what Jeff Lazerson is saying is that the US government (ie the taxpayers) should buy the mortgages so that mortgage interest rates should drop. This is counter to your initial statement of: "if Congress really wants a true stimulus package that won't cost tax payers, work toward getting the rates down."
Dan Dowling, senior mortgage adviser/president, United Mortgage Capital Corp: "Overall the election results will favor bond and mortgage backed securities prices. These financial instruments, i.e., mortgage-backs, will be increasingly utilized as mechanisms for social and political policy."
Again same thing here. Taxpayers buying up mortgage back securities.
Holden Lewis, Bankrate.com: There has been speculation that the Treasury has been responsible for at least one sharp rate drop by buying lots of mortgage-backed securities. That would have the effect of driving up bond prices, which would cause yields to drop -- and mortgage rates would follow. Brian Koss, managing partner with Mortgage Network Inc., a mortgage bank based in Westford, Mass., traces the rate drop to something more prosaic than the Treasury putting its thumb on the scales. He hears that mortgage servicers are buying loans, thus driving up prices and ... you get the picture. He says servicers are buying mortgages because they are steadily running out of loans to manage, in a process called runoff. Mortgages are being paid off when houses are sold, either willingly or in foreclosure. Because servicers are in the business of servicing mortgages, they don't really have the option of allowing all their loans to run off. If they did that, they would be out of business. So Koss' theory is that servicers are buying loans, and indirectly pushing rates down. Again same here. Someone has to be the purchaser of the mortgages for banks to drop the rates. The problem from the market standpoint is that investors want higher interest rates to account for the risk and borrowers want a lower rate. That is how the mortgage rate is determined. What the government can do is be a purchaser of mortgages which will drop the rate. But again, this goes back to costing the taxpayer which you opposed. |
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PMonkeyDishwasher
- Senior Member - 2K
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 11:38a
KingCheap said:I'm not alone in my view about rates coming down, the government's ability to help cause this and banks marking up rates: You also wouldn't be alone in your view if you thought the world was flat. That doesn't mean you're correct. |
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nycll
- Geeky member
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 11:39a
Only entity has the ability to purchase the mortgages is the us government. That should be obvious for a while. |
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tazzy531
- Senior Member - 3K
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 11:49a
nycll said:Only entity has the ability to purchase the mortgages is the us government. That should be obvious for a while. WHAAAAAA!!!! Please explain to me how that is obvious and is good at all for ANYONE! Edit: After picking myself up off the floor and re-reading that. Do you mean that only the US government should be allowed to buy mortgages or that they are the only ones capable in this climate to purchase?
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nycll
- Geeky member
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 12:07p
^^^ I meant US is the only capable entity to offer ultra low mortgage without subsidy. Consider what the IRS and FBI can do to lower the skip rates in the mom n pop loans.  |
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Tulth
- New Member
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 12:32p
Why not just pass a bill to give every American a free home and be done with it? |
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orphanis
- Senior Member - 1K
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 12:33p
bring back debt prisons. make deadbeats repair bridges, build railroads, wind farms or other infrastructure the country needs |
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KingCheap
- Member
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 12:34p
lostdude said:KingCheap said:I'm not alone in my view about rates coming down, the government's ability to help cause this and banks marking up rates:<<<<zippppped>>>>>.I ... can... not... resist.. anymore.
Stop quoting stuff you don't understand or out of context. For the sake of internet gods! I took nothing out of context. Yes, I work in the media. And, I don't believe in internet gods, so I guess I'm an internet agnostic?  |
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ZenNUTS
- Broke Member
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 12:36p
KingCheap said:Yes, I work in the media. That, I do believe. |
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hope69
- Senior Member - 2K
posted: Nov. 12, 2008 @ 12:40p
KingCheap said:lostdude said:KingCheap said:I'm not alone in my view about rates coming down, the government's ability to help cause this and banks marking up rates:<<<<zippppped>>>>>.I ... can... not... resist.. anymore.
Stop quoting stuff you don't understand or out of context. For the sake of internet gods!
I took nothing out of context. Yes, I work in the media. And, I don't believe in internet gods, so I guess I'm an internet agnostic?  The last place I would turn to is the media, by the time the media figure out what happend so well everyone else. Look if you really do work in the media go interview a few GS, MS, BA financial gurus and you will get a completely different picture, that is if they are willing to tell you the truth. |
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