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An Urgent Message to GM Suppliers... Archived From: Finance

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calvinandhobbes said:then there's the GM CEO blaming the financial meltdown as the core problem. That's funny given Toyota is facing the same metldown, the same tough market, yet they seem to be doing just fine.
Really? Toyota's doing just fine? Some of you need a little stroll down reality lane.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/11/19/business/19ports.php


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Incarnate said:calvinandhobbes said:then there's the GM CEO blaming the financial meltdown as the core problem. That's funny given Toyota is facing the same metldown, the same tough market, yet they seem to be doing just fine.
Really? Toyota's doing just fine? Some of you need a little stroll down reality lane.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/11/19/business/19ports.php

That article is a real eye-opener. No cars are selling, including Toyotas.


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JesseLivermore said:Incarnate said:calvinandhobbes said:then there's the GM CEO blaming the financial meltdown as the core problem. That's funny given Toyota is facing the same metldown, the same tough market, yet they seem to be doing just fine.
Really? Toyota's doing just fine? Some of you need a little stroll down reality lane.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/11/19/business/19ports.php


That article is a real eye-opener. No cars are selling, including Toyotas.


And Japan (and most industrialized nations) dump a ton of money into their businesses (i.e. Toyota, Sony, etc.). The Japanese gov't pays for the worker's health care, they give monetary assistance, and money for R&D. US companies are on their own and have to pay for their employees health care costs. It's an unfair playing field. And China throws off the true value of their currency.

700 billion for banks who hoard it like pigs....yeah, that's fair. At least give 25 billion (of that 700 billion) to the car companies. They build something and provide jobs and health insurance for working class people.


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swandown said:geo123 said:tazzy531 said:What is the problem with going into Chapter 11 bankruptcy? If it's so bad, why do we even have bankruptcy laws? Everyone should ask for a bailout from the government.They may still do it but Ford/GM's difficulties have a lot to do with their labor costs, which are difficult to solve in a bankruptcy context.

But easier to solve in a bailout context?
The argument here is that if you won't be allowed/able to terminate and severely lower pension and retirement benefits, fire lots of higher paid workers and relocate production facilities to cheaper places abroad, close a number of facilities, terminate and renegotiate a lot of supplier agreements (which, in turn, will cause lots of suppliers to file for bankruptcy), then a bankruptcy filing won't accomplish anything other than provide tremendous fee revenue to law firms handling it and further exarcerbate GM/Ford/Chrysler's financial position by greatly undermining their sales. In other words, if we are not willing to bail them out (and there are some excellent arguments against doing so), we shouldn't put pressure on them to do all of the above and should be prepared for some fairly significant (hopefully) relatively short term pain, which will spread to all sectors of our economy.


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mlayu said:deallover said:Braney Frank this morning on NPR said that $25B is just a loan with us as a number 1 creditor so that we ar first when payback time comes.

Same guy that said that Fannie and Freddie were fundamentally sound prior to nationalization.
I am pretty sure that $25B is significantly more than the current market cap of GM. Market cap represents the public's opinion of the value of their assets, and this $25B is the taxpayers' money for all intents and purposes. So what exactly do they have that we would want in exchange for our $25B should it come to that?

GM also has foreign subsidiaries that, to the best of my knowledge, are quite profitable at this juncture. How about they use THAT money to bail themselves out?

I say let GM enter BK reorg or fail outright. Other companys build an equal or superior product more efficiently. Whether it is now or later, the insane union contracts and dealer agreements will be the death of GM.


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I like how everyone said let the big 3 fail. The same people bitch about the price of new Toyota and Honda's. If the big 3 fail there are 3 less car MFG so supply will drop and prices go up. The more car MFG the better for the consumer. But people are stupid and when there are only 2 choices when it comes to car shopping we will get bent over by toyota or honda.


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trifate said:I like how everyone said let the big 3 fail. The same people bitch about the price of new Toyota and Honda's. If the big 3 fail there are 3 less car MFG so supply will drop and prices go up. The more car MFG the better for the consumer. But people are stupid and when there are only 2 choices when it comes to car shopping we will get bent over by toyota or honda.

I didn't see anyone complaining about the price of Toyotas or Hondas in this thread...


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trifate said:I like how everyone said let the big 3 fail. The same people bitch about the price of new Toyota and Honda's. If the big 3 fail there are 3 less car MFG so supply will drop and prices go up. The more car MFG the better for the consumer. But people are stupid and when there are only 2 choices when it comes to car shopping we will get bent over by toyota or honda.Toyota and Honda are the only other car makers? Really. And in this economy, you really think anyone is is a position to raise prices significantly on new cars? Further, the used car market will not simply disappear and would, if necessary, absorb some of the demand for cars.


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Incarnate said:calvinandhobbes said:then there's the GM CEO blaming the financial meltdown as the core problem. That's funny given Toyota is facing the same metldown, the same tough market, yet they seem to be doing just fine.
Really? Toyota's doing just fine? Some of you need a little stroll down reality lane. http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/11/19/business/19ports.php
Whoa there, Tex. I said they are doing fine in that they are still profitable.. Times are definitely down at Toyota relative to where they were last year, but compare the two situations. Toyota made, what, $1.4 billion in 3Q08 during a time of plummetting sales. Sure it's way off, but it's still profitable. A company making profits during their trough is a viable business model. To the contrary, GM lost $2.5 billion in the same time. That's called an unviable business model. Even this lowly engineer can figure that one out. We could switch to comparing cashflow (which is more important these days), but that only gets worse.

And guess what...if any or all of the big 3 go under...that's more sales to be had by Toyota, hence, more profit. Still think things are horrible for Toyota? I for one, don't really think things are that bad. When Toyota is losing $2.5 billion a quarter, or $1 per quarter for that matter, during a recession, let me know and I will reassess my view of the Japanese automaker.

note: I don't currently own a Toyota or stock in Toyota. Just calling it like I see it.


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erinm said:trifate said:I like how everyone said let the big 3 fail. The same people bitch about the price of new Toyota and Honda's. If the big 3 fail there are 3 less car MFG so supply will drop and prices go up. The more car MFG the better for the consumer. But people are stupid and when there are only 2 choices when it comes to car shopping we will get bent over by toyota or honda.

I didn't see anyone complaining about the price of Toyotas or Hondas in this thread...

No, he meant that we are NOT complaining about them because once the US 3 Car manufactures go out there will be less competition.

Though I sort of agree with what Erinm is saying about competition but I also can see that there are other companies waiting to pickup the slack namely Kia & Hyundai. I would also include other manufactures such as the Indian Car Company (Tata) which has been making quite a bit of headway in the past few years especially with their Nano car (i know it a Piece of crap but the timing is right). There are other manufactures in the UK/Europe that would have no problem transitioning in the US with their smaller and fuel efficient car lines.

Shahhere


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shahhere said:erinm said:trifate said:I like how everyone said let the big 3 fail. The same people bitch about the price of new Toyota and Honda's. If the big 3 fail there are 3 less car MFG so supply will drop and prices go up. The more car MFG the better for the consumer. But people are stupid and when there are only 2 choices when it comes to car shopping we will get bent over by toyota or honda.

I didn't see anyone complaining about the price of Toyotas or Hondas in this thread...


No, he meant that we are NOT complaining about them because once the US 3 Car manufactures go out there will be less competition.

Though I sort of agree with what Erinm is saying I also can see that there are other companies waiting to pickup the slack namely Kia & Hyundai. I would also include other manufactures such as the Indian Car Company (Tata) which has been making quite a bit of headway in the past few years especially with their Nano car (i know it a Piece of crap but the timing is right). There are other manufactures in the UK/Europe that would have no problem transitioning in the US with their smaller and fuel efficient car lines.

Shahhere

He did imply that people were complaining about Toyota and Honda prices, but I think the FW community probably owns more Toyotas and Hondas than the general public.

The Big 3 are touting statistics that are based on the fact that if they fail, their business will be completely gone and millions of cars just plain won't get made. We know that isn't the truth, some buyers of Buicks will become customers of Honda, Kia, Toyota, Nissan... etc. Sure, some cars won't get made, but that will help level supply and demand, but the remaining auto makers will just make more cars (if there is demand for them).

Our driveway has one Honda and two Chevys in it... guess which one was made in the US? Yep, the Honda. It also has the most miles on it, is the most reliable, most fuel efficient, and has the lowest cost of ownership.


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JesseLivermore said:shahhere, the government bailed out Chrysler with a loan in the early 80s. It saved hundreds of thousands of jobs, Chrysler paid the loan back, and things worked out - but Chrysler was not faced with the systemic credit crisis the big are today.

Countries that lose their manufacturing base ultimately are reduced to shadows of their former mighty selves, no matter what those endorsing a 'green revolution' with unseen jobs and unseen production facilities (for the most part) claim.

Manufacturing is essential.

 

As far as the bankruptcy issue, it is pretty credible that few people would trust an auto warranty if the company backing it is in bankruptcy. So, I do not see how that would add a further, crushing blow to any car company's chance of survival.

I completely agree that the UAW labor pacts need to go. I'm just saying that there are ways to accomplish that short of bankruptcy, which won't let these companies survive to live to fight again.

Most people are discussing "packaged bankruptcies" where the government will guarantee the warranties and provide a bridge loan AFTER bankruptcy is declared. The Big Three had the unions take on health care obligations and in return, the Big Three were supposed to pay $16 billion to the unions. Bankruptcy would set aside that obligation.

This is basically raising our taxes so we can support a guy making $50 with better health benefits, job security, and pensions than we have. It's disgusting.


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JesseLivermore said:4) There is ZERO question, to be fair, that because of their already precarious balance sheets, the Big 3 were much more vulnerable to the credit crisis and economic downturn than their foreign competition. We can argue about fault now, but it's too late to do that if we really are interested in helping to save millions of jobs and a critical (IMO) American Industry.but there is a question as to whether this loan would save the jobs, or merely delay their loss. also, see #66) There is ZERO question that at least 3 million, and as many as 5 million jobs will be lost if we lose these three companies, and that will mean worse economic conditions for all, and less competition for American Consumers.sure there is question. many challenge the 3 million figure. I for one do. I trust these CEO's and their propoganda machines as much as I trust the Tobacco CEO's in front of congress. they are counting car mechanics....gee, guess cars disappear once GM is gone. The ones already sold don't need any repairs. Sheesh. Not to mention GM's existing sales would be taken up by other companies. These are the same CEO's that claimed that imposing higher MPG requirements would hurt domestic sales because Toyota doesn't have to do it as well. BS. Of course they would. ANYONE selling cars in America would have the same requirements.
Perspective. After doling out 2 trillion to banks and Wall Street, with part of that taxpayer money being hoarded or used to pay bonuses and high executive compensation at the recipient entities, a lot of jobs can be saved and a lot of constructive good for the American Economy can be achieved with a fraction of that sum allocated as a loan to the Big 3, even if 2 of these companies survive (Ford and GM, for example).translation: even if you disagree with the Wall Street bailout, what's fair is fair, you have to bail out everyone. Well, no. No you don't.


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I used to work for Ford, and a couple Tier 1 suppliers as an engineer, and my dad is a GM Retiree (yeah yeah part of the problem).

While I admit I'd like to see something get worked out for my family's welfare, I do see how it would be nice to shed the UAW in Ch11, and how its hard to ask people who are paying half their healthcare to bailout gold-plated UAW health care.

Unfortunately, as soon as GM enters Ch11, they will sell practically ZERO cars. Raise your hand if you'd buy a car from a bankrupt company.

In my mind Ch11=Ch7.

Plus, it seems like the bridge loan, even if it doesnt get paid back, will cost a whole lot less than GM/Ford/Chry dumping their pensions on the PBGC.


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erinm said:The Big 3 are touting statistics that are based on the fact that if they fail, their business will be completely gone and millions of cars just plain won't get made. We know that isn't the truth, some buyers of Buicks will become customers of Honda, Kia, Toyota, Nissan... etc. Sure, some cars won't get made, but that will help level supply and demand, but the remaining auto makers will just make more cars (if there is demand for them).quit arguing supply and demand. that has nothing to do with economics, this is about.....no, wait, this is economics, it's all about supply and demand. If it isn't about supply and demand, it must be about politics. But that couldn't be the case, now, could it?Our driveway has one Honda and two Chevys in it... guess which one was made in the US? Yep, the Honda. It also has the most miles on it, is the most reliable, most fuel efficient, and has the lowest cost of ownership.There you go again, using reason. Quit that. Reason has no place in Detroit or DC.


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me3head said:Plus, it seems like the bridge loan, even if it doesnt get paid back, will cost a whole lot less than GM/Ford/Chry dumping their pensions on the PBGC.The whole point is that we are not hopeful that the pensions will not be dumped on PBGC even with the $25B bridge loan.

But bankruptcy will scare away buyers of automobiles for sure.


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darkmeridian said:

This is basically raising our taxes so we can support a guy making $50 with better health benefits, job security, and pensions than we have. It's disgusting.

I disagree completely. The UAW workers make almost the same amount as the non-UAW workers that work for Honda and Toyota make. Very few (if any) make $50, and most start at $14-15/hour. You also forget that many of the Big 3 make their cars in other countries, so they aren't even paying American workers. I know that Toyota workers in the US make very nice wages, yet Toyota doesn't have the same problems. Toyota workers in the Georgetown, KY plant average $30/hour. UAW workers average $27/hour.

Why aren't people concerned about the huge salaries and bonuses at the top? Why do we begrudge the WORKERS their wages, but seem to think that upper management earns their millions?

http://www.aftermarketnews.com/Item/28594/uaw_losing_pay_edge_fo...


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kamalktk said:If it's our "patriotic duty" to buy American cars, it's the union's "patriotic duty" to work for less so the cars can come down to a competitive price.
I would go so far as to add we should buy cars made by American workers not cars made by US based auto manufacturers in Mexico and Canada. Interestingly i see all the statistics about job losses to be for North America. They conveniently include Mexico and Canada as if their workers are US workers.

LC


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Most Unions pose limitation on the type and quantity of work that their workers can do. I am sure the UAW has such provisions too... These quite possibly interfere in worker productivity.


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geo123 said: The argument here is that if you won't be allowed/able to terminate and severely lower pension and retirement benefits, fire lots of higher paid workers and relocate production facilities to cheaper places abroad, close a number of facilities, terminate and renegotiate a lot of supplier agreements (which, in turn, will cause lots of suppliers to file for bankruptcy), then a bankruptcy filing won't accomplish anything other than provide tremendous fee revenue to law firms handling it and further exarcerbate GM/Ford/Chrysler's financial position by greatly undermining their sales. But if it is the position of the automakers that they cannot continue to be viable WITH these contracts (although no one has said it, asking for $25B from the taxpayers sure implies it), what logical argument would the Unions have in not allowing a restructuring of those contracts in a BK proceeding? Besides, it was always my understanding that such contracts can be renegotiated, or even broken, in BK (why is this contract different from a lease agreement that the BK trustee can choose to keep or walk away from?). But like I said, even if the BK laws do not allow an outright termination or renegotiation of these specific contracts, it seems the Union would want to renegotiate if their members are faced with either accepting less money or not having a job at all.


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